Myanmar’s Ministry of Electric Power for electricity show demand doubling from 12,459 million kWh in 2012-13 to 25,683 million kWh in 2018-19, a compound growth rate of 13% a year. However, actual production in 2012 appears to be only 10,000 million kWh, and it is unlikely that moving to 2012-13 will raise the total beyond 10,500 million kWh.
So, the likely electricity output in 2012-13 available for domestic use will be 3659 kWh below this year’s demand estimate. Production for domestic use would have to jump by 42% to equal the expected demand. This is a massive shortfall and demand grows by over 1500 million kWh in 2013-14.